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Cambria listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

Listing $25k traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 1 minute ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
Bybit 22% $9k Dec 31, 2027
Coinbase 28% $6k Dec 31, 2027
OKX 15% $4k Dec 31, 2027
Upbit 13% $4k Dec 31, 2027
Kraken 39% $3k Dec 31, 2027
Binance 9% $553 Dec 31, 2027

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cambria's token is listed for spot trading on the exchange named in the title within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cambria after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform. If Cambria does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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