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Ethos FDV above ___ one day after launch?

FDV after launch $28k traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 9 minutes ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
$100M 16% $10k Dec 31, 2027
$75M 30% $10k Dec 31, 2027
$50M 72% $4k Dec 31, 2027
$35M 94% $2k Dec 31, 2027
$25M 93% $1k Dec 31, 2027
$12M 89% $571 Dec 31, 2027
$18M 91% $133 Dec 31, 2027

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethos's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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