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How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Other $93k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| >6 | 38% | $34k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >10 | 41% | $28k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >4 | 52% | $27k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >12 | 45% | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >8 | 43% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/).
Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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