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Jumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

Listing $9k traded · closes Jan 31, 2028 · updated 1 minute ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
Upbit 26% $3k Jan 31, 2028
Coinbase 28% $2k Jan 31, 2028
Binance 42% $2k Jan 31, 2028
Kraken 58% $758 Jan 31, 2028
OKX 56% $538 Jan 31, 2028
Bybit 79% $184 Jan 31, 2028

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jumper's token is listed for spot trading on the specified exchange within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Jumper after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform. If Jumper (https://x.com/jumperapp) does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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