Prediction markets › Other
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by ___?
Other $17k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 15 seconds ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 | 2% | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| October 31, 2026 | 9% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| December 31, 2026 | 47% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| November 30, 2026 | 22% | $818 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| August 31, 2026 | No | $4k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| July 31, 2026 | No | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| June 30, 2026 | No | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments.
Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No".
The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may be restricted where you live.