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Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO

Other $2.3M traded · resolved · updated 2 hours ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
>30M Yes $704k Aug 31, 2026
>25M Yes $294k Aug 31, 2026
>32.5M Yes $266k Aug 31, 2026
>40M No $165k Aug 31, 2026
>35M No $145k Aug 31, 2026
>20M Yes $92k Aug 31, 2026
>6M Yes $77k Aug 31, 2026
>100M No $69k Aug 31, 2026
>45M No $59k Aug 31, 2026
>50M No $51k Aug 31, 2026
>60M No $35k Aug 31, 2026
>90M No $33k Aug 31, 2026
>70M No $33k Aug 31, 2026
>27.5M Yes $32k Aug 31, 2026
>95M No $29k Aug 31, 2026
>55M No $23k Aug 31, 2026
>4M Yes $23k Aug 31, 2026
>80M No $18k Aug 31, 2026
>16M Yes $18k Aug 31, 2026
>65M No $16k Aug 31, 2026
>14M Yes $14k Aug 31, 2026
>75M No $14k Aug 31, 2026
>85M No $14k Aug 31, 2026
>18M Yes $12k Aug 31, 2026
>10M Yes $10k Aug 31, 2026
>2M Yes $9k Aug 31, 2026
>8M Yes $5k Aug 31, 2026
>12M Yes $3k Aug 31, 2026

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Credible sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/credible/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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