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Total commitments for the Ethos public sale on Sonar

Other $94k traded · resolved · updated 2 hours ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
>7.5M Yes $23k Sep 8, 2026
>5M Yes $22k Sep 8, 2026
>10M No $15k Sep 8, 2026
>4M Yes $14k Sep 8, 2026
>15M No $6k Sep 8, 2026
>20M No $5k Sep 8, 2026
>3M Yes $4k Sep 8, 2026
>2.5M Yes $3k Sep 8, 2026
>30M No $2k Sep 8, 2026

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Ethos raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the "total committed" figure displayed on the official Ethos sale page at https://sale.ethos.network. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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