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Total commitments for the Squid public sale on Legion and Kraken

Other $41k traded · resolved · updated 2 hours ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
>4M Yes $15k Jul 31, 2026
>5.5M Yes $8k Jul 31, 2026
>6M Yes $8k Jul 31, 2026
>3M Yes $5k Jul 31, 2026
>5M Yes $4k Jul 31, 2026
>3.5M Yes $898 Jul 31, 2026
>2.5M Yes $799 Jul 31, 2026
>4.5M Yes $617 Jul 31, 2026

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Squid raise on both Legion and Kraken exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is the total committed value displayed on the official Squid sale page on Legion at https://app.legion.cc/app/invest/squid. This value is the sum of total commitments on both Legion and Kraken. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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