Prediction markets › Other
Total crypto hack value in 2026?
Other $91k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 8 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| >$3B | 63% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$2.5B | 94% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$3.5B | 16% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$4B | 8% | $1k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$800M | Yes | $56k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$1B | Yes | $12k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$1.5B | Yes | $9k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$2B | Yes | $5k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| >$1.2B | Yes | $1k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks
The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026
If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used.
If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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