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What price will Cap hit in 2026?

Other $18k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 19 seconds ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
↑ $0.20 7% $3k Dec 31, 2026
↑ $0.10 26% $3k Dec 31, 2026
↑ $0.15 12% $3k Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.01 19% $1k Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.015 16% $712 Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.03 25% $0 Dec 31, 2026
↑ $0.06 Yes $4k Dec 31, 2026
↑ $0.08 Yes $2k Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.05 Yes $713 Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.02 Yes $671 Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.06 Yes $570 Dec 31, 2026
↓ $0.04 Yes $259 Dec 31, 2026
↑ $0.04 Yes $224 Dec 31, 2026

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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