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What price will $LAPTOP hit in September?
Other $102k traded · closes Sep 30, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 0.05 | 23% | $21k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↑ 5.00 | <1% | $19k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↑ 3.50 | <1% | $15k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↑ 10.00 | <1% | $13k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↑ 7.50 | <1% | $5k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↑ 20.00 | <1% | $3k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↓ 0.10 | Yes | $11k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↓ 0.50 | Yes | $8k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↓ 0.25 | Yes | $4k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ↓ 1.00 | Yes | $2k | Sep 30, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Kraken 1-minute candle for $LAPTOP (LAPTOP/USD) between the creation of this market and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Kraken, specifically the LAPTOP/USD "High" and "Low" prices available at:
https://pro.kraken.com/app/trade/laptop-usd
with the chart set to "1m" (one-minute candles) on the top bar.
Only the Kraken LAPTOP/USD price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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