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Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Other $245k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 2 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy | 3% | $72k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Perplexity AI | 5% | $57k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Lovable | 3% | $47k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Beyond Meat | 9% | $18k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| OpenAI | 2% | $18k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Carvana | 2% | $7k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| SoundHound AI | 10% | $7k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Anthropic | 2% | $6k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Xerox | 6% | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Workhorse | 9% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| C3.ai | 3% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| JetBlue Airways | 7% | $1k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Lucid | 5% | $897 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Rivian | 3% | $638 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| JC Penney | 6% | $0 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| iRobot | Yes | $4k | Dec 30, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.
A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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