Prediction markets › Other
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
Other $35k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 7 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| ThreadGuy | 33% | $12k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Guy Young | 33% | $6k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Ansem | 31% | $4k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Brian Armstrong | 7% | $4k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Arthur Hayes | 13% | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| SBF | 26% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Jeff Yan | 42% | $2k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Jesse Pollak | 27% | $588 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| CZ | 26% | $467 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Vitalik Buterin | 6% | $454 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| GCR | 46% | $365 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Thomas Lee | 1% | $209 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Michael Saylor | 33% | $182 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Su Zhu | 42% | $175 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| thiccy | 35% | $174 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Martin Shkreli | 47% | $161 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Gainzy | 11% | $141 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Javier Milei | 68% | $130 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Anatoly Yakovenko | 50% | $124 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| light | 41% | $47 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Andrew Kang | 42% | $0 | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).
Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.
The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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