Prediction markets › FDV after launch
Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV?
FDV after launch $116 traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV? | 49% | $116 | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 6 or more tokens launched in 2026 end the year with an FDV above $1B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data).
Stablecoins, LSTs, liquidity pool tokens, or synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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