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Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
Other $24k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9% | $11k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 20 | 12% | $5k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 50 | 33% | $4k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 5 | 11% | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
Will a coin launched in 2026 reach the top___?
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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