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Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?
Other $101k traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 9 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | $82k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| June 30, 2027 | 11% | $5k | Jun 30, 2027 |
| December 31, 2027 | 13% | $13k | Dec 31, 2027 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.
If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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