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Will Courtyard launch a token by ___?

Token launch $1k traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 20 seconds ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
December 31, 2026 8% $451 Dec 31, 2026
June 30, 2027 38% $285 Jun 30, 2027
December 31, 2027 38% $376 Dec 31, 2027

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtyard officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Courtyard after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Courtyard (https://x.com/Courtyard_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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