Prediction markets › Token launch
Will Ethos launch a token by ___?
Token launch $7k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 7 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 8, 2026 | 95% | $2k | Oct 8, 2026 |
| October 15, 2026 | 97% | $2k | Oct 15, 2026 |
| October 31, 2026 | 97% | $2k | Oct 31, 2026 |
| December 31, 2026 | 97% | $762 | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethos officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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