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Will Jumper launch a token by ___?

Token launch $64k traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 8 minutes ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
December 31, 2026 88% $62k Dec 31, 2026
June 30, 2027 99% $2k Jun 30, 2027
December 31, 2027 >99% $401 Dec 31, 2027

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jumper officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Jumper will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. A token issued or branded by a party other than Jumper, including LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), will qualify only if Jumper publicly announces that the token is Jumper's own token, whether in its own announcement or in a joint announcement with the issuing party. Absent such an announcement from Jumper's official channels, such a token will not qualify, and its launch will not affect the resolution of this market. Where a token qualifies on this basis, both the announcement and the token's public tradability must occur by the specified date. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Jumper (https://x.com/jumperapp), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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