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Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
Other $1.2M traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 79% | $38k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| March 31 | No | $1.0M | Apr 1, 2026 |
| June 30 | No | $173k | Jun 30, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.
An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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