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Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

Other $19k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 15 seconds ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? 68% $19k Dec 31, 2026

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.

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