Prediction markets › Other
Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?
Other $10k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 15 seconds ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 48% | $46 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| December 31 | No | $10k | Dec 31, 2025 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Total RWA Value” shown on rwa.xyz is equal to or greater than $50B on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is the “Total RWA Value” chart set to “1m”, available at:
https://app.rwa.xyz/
A data point on the rwa.xyz chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.
If rwa.xyz becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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