Prediction markets › Token launch
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
Token launch $99k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | $96k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| March 31, 2026 | No | $3k | Apr 1, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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