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Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
Other $49k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | 7% | $49k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.
A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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