Prediction markets › Token launch
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Token launch $10k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 19 seconds ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | 10% | $10k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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