Prediction markets › Other
Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?
Other $0 traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 4 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 42% | $0 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| December 31 | 54% | $0 | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.
If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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