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What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?
Other Ethereum $7k traded · closes Oct 31, 2026 · updated 6 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 65 | 30% | $2k | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↑ 60 | 26% | $1k | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↓ 45 | 5% | $822 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↓ 40 | 2% | $813 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↑ 80 | 4% | $662 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↑ 70 | 9% | $464 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↑ 100 | 2% | $330 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↓ 35 | 3% | $208 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↑ 90 | 5% | $162 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ↓ 50 | Yes | $329 | Oct 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub or the Ethereum price odds.
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