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Ethereum price prediction — real-money market odds

Where traders betting real money expect Ethereum to trade: 273 active markets, $18.5M traded. Updated 9 minutes ago.

$2,608ETH spot (binance)
-3.90%24h change
273active markets

Chance Ethereum is above each price on each date

Price levelOct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 12
$3,200 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
$3,100 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
$3,000 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
$2,900 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
$2,800 <1% 1% 1% 3% 3% 5%
$2,700 3% 5% 10% 14% 16% 19%
$2,600 70% 61% 58% 57% 55% 55%
$2,500 99% 97% 93% 91% 89% 86%
$2,400 >99% 99% 98% 98% 98% 97%
$2,300 >99% >99% 99% >99% 99% >99%
$2,200 >99% >99% 99% >99% 99% >99%

Each cell: probability that ETH is above that price at the check time set in each market's resolution rules on Polymarket.

Chance Ethereum reaches or dips to each level

Levelby Oct 7by Oct 11by Oct 31by Dec 31by Mar 31
↑ $8,000 reach — — — 1% —
↑ $7,500 reach — — — 1% —
↑ $7,000 reach — — — 1% —
↑ $6,500 reach — — — 2% —
↑ $6,000 reach — — — 2% 9%
↑ $5,500 reach — — — 3% —
↑ $5,000 reach — — — 4% —
↑ $4,500 reach — — <1% 6% —
↑ $4,000 reach — — — 12% 28%
↑ $3,600 reach — — 3% — —
↑ $3,500 reach — — 3% 26% —
↑ $3,400 reach — <1% 3% — —
↑ $3,300 reach — <1% 5% — —
↑ $3,200 reach — <1% 10% — —
↑ $3,100 reach — 1% 13% — —
↑ $3,000 reach — 2% 24% 57% 71%
↑ $2,900 reach <1% 2% 34% — —
↑ $2,800 reach 1% 6% 52% — —
↑ $2,750 reach 1% — — — —
↑ $2,700 reach 4% — — — —
↑ $2,650 reach 31% — — — —
↓ $2,600 dip to 77% — — — —
↓ $2,550 dip to 13% — — — —
↓ $2,500 dip to 2% 24% 70% — —
↓ $2,400 dip to <1% 4% 45% — —
↓ $2,300 dip to <1% 2% 26% — —
↓ $2,250 dip to — — — 33% —
↓ $2,200 dip to — 1% 17% — —
↓ $2,100 dip to — 1% 12% — —
↓ $2,000 dip to — <1% 6% 15% —
↓ $1,900 dip to — — 4% — —
↓ $1,800 dip to — — 2% — —
↓ $1,750 dip to — — — 9% —
↓ $1,500 dip to — — — 7% —
↓ $1,250 dip to — — — 5% —
↓ $1,000 dip to — — — 5% —
↓ $800 dip to — — — 3% —
↓ $700 dip to — — — 2% —
↓ $600 dip to — — — 1% —
↓ $500 dip to — — — 1% —

Touch markets: they resolve “Yes” the first time ETH trades at the level before the deadline.

Where Ethereum closes on Oct 7

RangeProbabilityVolume
$2,200 – $2,300 <1% $100
$2,300 – $2,400 <1% $922
$2,400 – $2,500 <1% $3k
$2,500 – $2,600 29% $5k
$2,600 – $2,700 69% $8k
$2,700 – $2,800 2% $7k
$2,800 – $2,900 <1% $6k
$2,900 – $3,000 <1% $8k
$3,000 – $3,100 <1% $2k

Other Ethereum price markets

MarketProbabilityCloses
Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? (Up) 2% Oct 7, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on October 7? <1% Oct 7, 12:00 PM ET
Ethereum Up or Down on October 8? (Up) 51% Oct 8, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on October 8? <1% Oct 8, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on October 9? 2% Oct 9, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on October 10? 1% Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on October 11? 2% Oct 11, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on October 12? 2% Oct 12, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13? 2% Oct 13, 12:00 PM ET

How the odds have moved

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

Biggest Ethereum moves in 24 hours

Related Ethereum events

About these numbers

Every probability is the current price of a “Yes” share on Polymarket — a share pays $1 if the outcome happens, so a 0.30 price means roughly a 30% chance in the market's view. They are not our forecasts. Short-dated and thinly traded markets can jump on single trades. How often these prices were right in the past is tracked on the accuracy page.

Put this on your site: Ethereum odds widget · Also on CryptoPriceRanks: Ethereum fees — ETH withdrawal fees by exchange.

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