Prediction markets › Listing
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Listing $1.6M traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 9 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | $571k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| March 31, 2027 | 60% | $2k | Mar 31, 2027 |
| June 30, 2027 | 60% | $367 | Jun 30, 2027 |
| December 31, 2027 | 74% | $337 | Dec 31, 2027 |
| December 31 | No | $495k | Dec 31, 2025 |
| March 31, 2026 | No | $546k | Mar 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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