Prediction markets › Token launch
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Token launch $8.0M traded · closes Dec 31, 2027 · updated 9 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 | <1% | $550k | Sep 30, 2026 |
| December 31, 2026 | 7% | $751k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| June 30, 2027 | 37% | $24k | Jun 30, 2027 |
| December 31, 2027 | 60% | $43k | Dec 31, 2027 |
| December 31, 2025 | No | $4.9M | Dec 31, 2025 |
| June 30, 2026 | No | $1.8M | Jun 29, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub.
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