Prediction markets › Other
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
Other Bitcoin $10.5M traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 8 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 | <1% | $1.7M | Sep 30, 2026 |
| December 31, 2026 | 7% | $1.8M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| March 31, 2026 | No | $3.9M | Apr 1, 2026 |
| June 30, 2026 | No | $3.0M | Jul 1, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub or the Bitcoin price odds.
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