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Bitcoin best month in 2026?
Other Bitcoin $857k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 9 minutes ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| December | 7% | $39k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| November | 4% | $38k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| October | 2% | $31k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| August | 84% | $30k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| September | <1% | $25k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| January | No | $503k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| March | No | $56k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| April | No | $49k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| February | No | $27k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| June | No | $27k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| May | No | $20k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| July | No | $10k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.
The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.
The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.
Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub or the Bitcoin price odds.
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