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What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
Listing Ethereum $4k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 52 seconds ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Multichain | 39% | $3k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Solana | 30% | $677 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum | 39% | $292 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Base | 45% | $233 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Own Chain | 41% | $214 | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097
This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform.
An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later.
If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.”
If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.”
The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting.
If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub or the Ethereum price odds.
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