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What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

Listing Ethereum $4k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 52 seconds ago

OutcomeProbabilityVolumeCloses
Multichain 39% $3k Dec 31, 2026
Solana 30% $677 Dec 31, 2026
Ethereum 39% $292 Dec 31, 2026
Base 45% $233 Dec 31, 2026
Own Chain 41% $214 Dec 31, 2026

Probability over time

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

How this market resolves

NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub or the Ethereum price odds.

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