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Solana price prediction — real-money market odds

Where traders betting real money expect Solana to trade: 236 active markets, $3.3M traded. Updated 7 minutes ago.

$117.7SOL spot (binance)
-4.30%24h change
236active markets

Chance Solana is above each price on each date

Price levelSep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4
$170 — — — 50% 50% 2%
$160 <1% <1% 47% — — —
$145 — — — 2% 1% 2%
$140 <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 2%
$135 <1% 2% <1% 2% 3% 3%
$130 1% 2% 6% 7% 9% 8%
$125 3% 9% 14% 17% 18% 18%
$120 23% 32% 37% 38% 39% 38%
$115 82% 74% 69% 67% 66% 63%
$110 99% 95% 91% 88% 85% 85%
$105 >99% 97% 96% 94% 94% 94%
$100 >99% 98% 98% 97% 97% 98%
$95 >99% 98% 98% 98% 98% 99%
$90 >99% 98% 98% — — —

Each cell: probability that SOL is above that price at the check time set in each market's resolution rules on Polymarket.

Chance Solana reaches or dips to each level

Levelby Sep 28by Sep 30by Oct 4by Dec 31by Mar 31
↑ $400 reach — — — 2% —
↑ $320 reach — — — 3% —
↑ $300 reach — <1% — 3% 12%
↑ $280 reach — — — 3% —
↑ $260 reach — — — 4% —
↑ $240 reach — — — 6% —
↑ $220 reach — — — 10% —
↑ $200 reach — <1% — 12% —
↑ $190 reach — <1% 1% — —
↑ $180 reach — <1% 1% 18% —
↑ $170 reach — <1% 2% — —
↑ $160 reach — <1% 2% 30% —
↑ $150 reach — <1% 2% 36% 55%
↑ $140 reach <1% 1% 3% 53% —
↑ $130 reach 1% 6% 16% — —
↑ $125 reach 2% — — — —
↓ $115 dip to 13% — — — —
↓ $110 dip to 3% 18% 33% — —
↓ $105 dip to 2% — — — —
↓ $100 dip to <1% 3% 4% — —
↓ $90 dip to — <1% 2% 31% —
↓ $80 dip to — <1% 2% 19% —
↓ $70 dip to — <1% 2% 16% —
↓ $60 dip to — <1% 2% 9% —
↓ $50 dip to — <1% 2% 6% —
↓ $40 dip to — <1% — 4% —
↓ $30 dip to — <1% — 5% —
↓ $20 dip to — <1% — 1% —

Touch markets: they resolve “Yes” the first time SOL trades at the level before the deadline.

Where Solana closes on Sep 29

RangeProbabilityVolume
$70 – $80 <1% $15
$80 – $90 <1% $10
$90 – $100 <1% $15
$100 – $110 2% $415
$110 – $120 76% $250
$120 – $130 24% $231
$130 – $140 2% $530
$140 – $150 <1% $10
$150 – $160 <1% $10

Other Solana price markets

MarketProbabilityCloses
Solana Up or Down on September 29? (Up) 39% Sep 29, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 29? <1% Sep 29, 12:00 PM ET
Solana Up or Down on September 30? (Up) 51% Sep 30, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 30? <1% Sep 30, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 1? 47% Oct 1, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on October 2? 49% Oct 2, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on October 3? 48% Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on October 4? 1% Oct 4, 12:00 PM ET
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 5? 1% Oct 5, 12:00 PM ET

How the odds have moved

Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.

Related Solana events

About these numbers

Every probability is the current price of a “Yes” share on Polymarket — a share pays $1 if the outcome happens, so a 0.30 price means roughly a 30% chance in the market's view. They are not our forecasts. Short-dated and thinly traded markets can jump on single trades. How often these prices were right in the past is tracked on the accuracy page.

Put this on your site: Solana odds widget · Also on CryptoPriceRanks: Solana fees — SOL withdrawal fees by exchange.

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