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Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Other Bitcoin $510k traded · closes Dec 31, 2026 · updated 1 minute ago
| Outcome | Probability | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M+ | 8% | $298k | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 800k+ | Yes | $212k | Dec 31, 2026 |
Probability over time
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Probabilities are Polymarket share prices (a “Yes” share pays $1), not our forecast. Full rules and order book: this event on Polymarket. See more on the crypto prediction markets hub or the Bitcoin price odds.
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