Prediction markets › XRP
XRP price prediction — real-money market odds
Where traders betting real money expect XRP to trade: 222 active markets, $549k traded. Updated 4 minutes ago.
Chance XRP is above each price on each date
| Price level | Oct 7 | Oct 8 | Oct 9 | Oct 10 | Oct 11 | Oct 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| $1.9 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| $1.8 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| $1.7 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| $1.6 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% |
| $1.5 | 4% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 27% | 29% |
| $1.4 | 97% | 90% | 84% | 80% | 75% | 73% |
| $1.3 | >99% | 99% | 98% | 98% | 97% | 96% |
| $1.2 | >99% | 99% | 98% | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| $1.1 | >99% | 99% | >99% | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| $1 | >99% | >99% | >99% | 99% | 99% | 99% |
Each cell: probability that XRP is above that price at the check time set in each market's resolution rules on Polymarket.
Chance XRP reaches or dips to each level
| Level | by Oct 7 | by Oct 11 | by Oct 31 | by Dec 31 | by Mar 31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $6 reach | — | — | — | 2% | — |
| ↑ $5 reach | — | — | — | 1% | — |
| ↑ $4.2 reach | — | — | — | 3% | — |
| ↑ $4 reach | — | — | <1% | 3% | — |
| ↑ $3.8 reach | — | — | — | 3% | — |
| ↑ $3.6 reach | — | — | — | 5% | — |
| ↑ $3.4 reach | — | — | — | 5% | — |
| ↑ $3.2 reach | — | — | <1% | 6% | — |
| ↑ $3 reach | — | — | 2% | 7% | — |
| ↑ $2.8 reach | — | — | 2% | 8% | — |
| ↑ $2.6 reach | — | — | 1% | 13% | — |
| ↑ $2.4 reach | — | — | 3% | — | — |
| ↑ $2.2 reach | — | 2% | 5% | — | — |
| ↑ $2.1 reach | — | 2% | — | — | — |
| ↑ $2 reach | — | 2% | 8% | 31% | 75% |
| ↑ $1.9 reach | — | 2% | — | — | — |
| ↑ $1.8 reach | — | 2% | 18% | — | — |
| ↑ $1.7 reach | 2% | 2% | — | — | — |
| ↑ $1.65 reach | 2% | — | — | — | — |
| ↑ $1.6 reach | 1% | 8% | 49% | — | — |
| ↑ $1.55 reach | 2% | — | — | — | — |
| ↑ $1.5 reach | 16% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.4 dip to | 10% | 52% | 80% | — | — |
| ↓ $1.35 dip to | 2% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.3 dip to | 1% | 5% | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.25 dip to | 1% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.2 dip to | — | 2% | 22% | 47% | — |
| ↓ $1.1 dip to | — | 2% | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1 dip to | — | 2% | 4% | 22% | — |
| ↓ $0.9 dip to | — | 2% | — | — | — |
| ↓ $0.8 dip to | — | 2% | 2% | 11% | — |
| ↓ $0.6 dip to | — | — | 2% | 6% | — |
| ↓ $0.4 dip to | — | — | <1% | 2% | — |
| ↓ $0.2 dip to | — | — | <1% | 1% | — |
Touch markets: they resolve “Yes” the first time XRP trades at the level before the deadline.
Where XRP closes on Oct 7
| Range | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| $1.1 – $1.2 | <1% | $30 |
| $1.2 – $1.3 | <1% | $10 |
| $1.3 – $1.4 | 3% | $307 |
| $1.4 – $1.5 | 95% | $300 |
| $1.5 – $1.6 | 7% | $120 |
| $1.6 – $1.7 | 2% | $506 |
| $1.7 – $1.8 | <1% | $50 |
| $1.8 – $1.9 | <1% | $30 |
| $1.9 – $2 | <1% | $30 |
Other XRP price markets
| Market | Probability | Closes |
|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down on October 7? (Up) | 3% | Oct 7, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 7? | <1% | Oct 7, 12:00 PM ET |
| XRP Up or Down on October 8? (Up) | 51% | Oct 8, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on October 8? | <1% | Oct 8, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 9? | 2% | Oct 9, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on October 10? | 1% | Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 11? | 2% | Oct 11, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on October 12? | 1% | Oct 12, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 13? | 2% | Oct 13, 12:00 PM ET |
How the odds have moved
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
Biggest XRP moves in 24 hours
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 7? 56% → 4% (-52 pp)
- Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 7? 45% → 95% (+50 pp)
- XRP Up or Down on October 7? 51% → 3% (-48 pp)
- Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 7? 54% → 7% (-48 pp)
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 8? 54% → 14% (-40 pp)
- Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 8? 48% → 14% (-34 pp)
- Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 8? 44% → 77% (+34 pp)
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 9? 53% → 20% (-32 pp)
Related XRP events
About these numbers
Every probability is the current price of a “Yes” share on Polymarket — a share pays $1 if the outcome happens, so a 0.30 price means roughly a 30% chance in the market's view. They are not our forecasts. Short-dated and thinly traded markets can jump on single trades. How often these prices were right in the past is tracked on the accuracy page.
Put this on your site: XRP odds widget · Also on CryptoPriceRanks: XRP fees — exchange fee comparison.
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