Prediction markets › XRP
XRP price prediction — real-money market odds
Where traders betting real money expect XRP to trade: 221 active markets, $1.3M traded. Updated 7 minutes ago.
Chance XRP is above each price on each date
| Price level | Sep 29 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 3 | Oct 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.1 | <1% | — | — | 2% | 2% | — |
| $2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| $1.9 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| $1.8 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| $1.7 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% |
| $1.6 | 5% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% |
| $1.5 | 38% | 42% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 45% |
| $1.4 | 95% | 89% | 83% | 79% | 77% | 76% |
| $1.3 | >99% | 98% | 97% | 96% | 95% | 94% |
| $1.2 | >99% | 99% | 99% | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| $1.1 | >99% | 99% | 99% | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| $1 | — | 99% | 99% | — | — | 98% |
Each cell: probability that XRP is above that price at the check time set in each market's resolution rules on Polymarket.
Chance XRP reaches or dips to each level
| Level | by Sep 28 | by Sep 30 | by Oct 4 | by Dec 31 | by Mar 31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $8 reach | — | — | — | 2% | — |
| ↑ $6 reach | — | — | — | 2% | — |
| ↑ $5 reach | — | — | — | 3% | — |
| ↑ $4.2 reach | — | — | — | 3% | — |
| ↑ $4 reach | — | — | — | 6% | — |
| ↑ $3.8 reach | — | — | — | 5% | — |
| ↑ $3.6 reach | — | — | — | 7% | — |
| ↑ $3.4 reach | — | — | — | 8% | — |
| ↑ $3.2 reach | — | — | — | 8% | — |
| ↑ $3 reach | — | <1% | — | 10% | — |
| ↑ $2.8 reach | — | <1% | — | 13% | — |
| ↑ $2.6 reach | — | <1% | — | 16% | — |
| ↑ $2.2 reach | — | <1% | 2% | — | — |
| ↑ $2.1 reach | — | — | 2% | — | — |
| ↑ $2 reach | — | <1% | 2% | 41% | 59% |
| ↑ $1.9 reach | — | — | 2% | — | — |
| ↑ $1.8 reach | — | 3% | 6% | — | — |
| ↑ $1.7 reach | <1% | — | 12% | — | — |
| ↑ $1.65 reach | 3% | — | — | — | — |
| ↑ $1.6 reach | 37% | 21% | 37% | — | — |
| ↑ $1.55 reach | 4% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.45 dip to | 17% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.4 dip to | 3% | 32% | 50% | — | — |
| ↓ $1.35 dip to | 3% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.3 dip to | 3% | — | 13% | — | — |
| ↓ $1.25 dip to | 2% | — | — | — | — |
| ↓ $1.2 dip to | — | 1% | 3% | 52% | — |
| ↓ $1.1 dip to | — | — | 2% | — | — |
| ↓ $1 dip to | — | <1% | 2% | 27% | — |
| ↓ $0.9 dip to | — | — | 2% | — | — |
| ↓ $0.8 dip to | — | <1% | 2% | 12% | — |
| ↓ $0.6 dip to | — | <1% | — | 8% | — |
| ↓ $0.4 dip to | — | <1% | — | 3% | — |
| ↓ $0.2 dip to | — | <1% | — | 2% | — |
Touch markets: they resolve “Yes” the first time XRP trades at the level before the deadline.
Where XRP closes on Sep 29
| Range | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| $1.1 – $1.2 | <1% | $10 |
| $1.2 – $1.3 | <1% | $600 |
| $1.3 – $1.4 | 34% | $63 |
| $1.4 – $1.5 | 46% | $5 |
| $1.5 – $1.6 | 33% | $5 |
| $1.6 – $1.7 | 48% | $66 |
| $1.7 – $1.8 | <1% | $265 |
| $1.8 – $1.9 | <1% | $65 |
| $1.9 – $2 | <1% | $10 |
Other XRP price markets
| Market | Probability | Closes |
|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down on September 29? (Up) | 42% | Sep 29, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on September 29? | <1% | Sep 29, 12:00 PM ET |
| XRP Up or Down on September 30? (Up) | 50% | Sep 30, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on September 30? | 1% | Sep 30, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 1? | 2% | Oct 1, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 2? | 2% | Oct 2, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 3? | 2% | Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 4? | 2% | Oct 4, 12:00 PM ET |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on October 5? | 2% | Oct 5, 12:00 PM ET |
How the odds have moved
Market-implied probability (%) · 6-hour points · source: Polymarket order book prices.
Related XRP events
About these numbers
Every probability is the current price of a “Yes” share on Polymarket — a share pays $1 if the outcome happens, so a 0.30 price means roughly a 30% chance in the market's view. They are not our forecasts. Short-dated and thinly traded markets can jump on single trades. How often these prices were right in the past is tracked on the accuracy page.
Put this on your site: XRP odds widget · Also on CryptoPriceRanks: XRP fees — exchange fee comparison.
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